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Oh, the JK actually hit something! That's exciting news. Not sure if it's worth risking them outing themselves given its a 50/50 on if it was their target vs them protecting a hit
Sorry for my apparent quietness between having no powers to go on and my personal irl schedule I've tried to make the most out of when I can be available.
Oh, the JK actually hit something! That's exciting news. Not sure if it's worth risking them outing themselves given its a 50/50 on if it was their target vs them protecting a hit
6 players, 4 Town, 2 Mafia. This is basically Endgame. The Jailkeep outs their target. We Yeet them.
Elimination occurs, down to 5
If they end up Town, its Over. Mafia RBs JK and Kills the JK, to 4, 2-2. I’m assuming that’s it with Plurality.
If they end up Mafia, still tough. I *think* the OS RB is independent of the Kill, so again, the JK is killed, leaving 3-1. Then it’s endgame day.
Now… the real interesting part is if Mafia makes a play today and tries to convince us they’re the Jailkeep. The Killer *should* do that today, I think. I’m actually amazed it hasn’t happened yet.
"Why would the possibility of me being wrong ever stop me from doing something?"
6 players, 4 Town, 2 Mafia. This is basically Endgame. The Jailkeep outs their target. We Yeet them.
Elimination occurs, down to 5
If they end up Town, its Over. Mafia RBs JK and Kills the JK, to 4, 2-2. I’m assuming that’s it with Plurality.
If they end up Mafia, still tough. I *think* the OS RB is independent of the Kill, so again, the JK is killed, leaving 3-1. Then it’s endgame day.
Now… the real interesting part is if Mafia makes a play today and tries to convince us they’re the Jailkeep. The Killer *should* do that today, I think. I’m actually amazed it hasn’t happened yet.
You are playing very strangely compared to your usual plays.
You've been wanting us to out the jailkeep even though it makes literally no sense, and now you've laid the perfect groundwork for the mafia to lock the game up today.
6 players, 4 Town, 2 Mafia. This is basically Endgame. The Jailkeep outs their target. We Yeet them.
Elimination occurs, down to 5
If they end up Town, its Over. Mafia RBs JK and Kills the JK, to 4, 2-2. I’m assuming that’s it with Plurality.
If they end up Mafia, still tough. I *think* the OS RB is independent of the Kill, so again, the JK is killed, leaving 3-1. Then it’s endgame day.
Now… the real interesting part is if Mafia makes a play today and tries to convince us they’re the Jailkeep. The Killer *should* do that today, I think. I’m actually amazed it hasn’t happened yet.
I'm trying to decide how scummy this post is.
So you think if we were to know who it was we should definitely vote out the JK's target? It seems to me there's basically a 50/50 on the JK target being the killer vs the victim. But I guess that 50/50 is better than the 33/67 of just going for one of the six of us randomly.
Come play in a mafia game! Hey! I'm talking to you, Scott Pilgrim!
He's been on the low end of my reads all game and I'm not really sure I'm a fan of outing the JK. Might as well drop the vote since I've been fairly aggressive with my voting so far
1) No elimination today. I think this is viable, as a wrong elimination gets dangerously close to a mafia win.
2) Vote someone out today. If they're mafia, good news. If it's not mafia, that puts it at 3 town 2 mafia, and after a nightkill that makes it 2 and 2. Based on plurality, ties are decided randomly, so it's not impossible for the town to win but it's at best a 50/50 chance if they vote for the correct person.
Come play in a mafia game! Hey! I'm talking to you, Scott Pilgrim!
So you think if we were to know who it was we should definitely vote out the JK's target? It seems to me there's basically a 50/50 on the JK target being the killer vs the victim. But I guess that 50/50 is better than the 33/67 of just going for one of the six of us randomly.
I don’t think it’s 50/50.
Jailkeep would have to target the Kill Target. That’s two actions they are taking into account. So almost a (1/4) * (1/5). 1/20 chance? It’s early, this is quick math
If the Jailkeep targets the Killer, that’s only a 1/5 shot (they wouldn’t have targeted themselves).
So yes, the odd are higher that the Jailkeep targeted the Killer. Jailkeep should point that out.
At the moment, Adam and K-Ness’ obliviousness to endgame indicates they are Mafia, but again, waiting for the Jailkeep back and forth that is likely to come
"Why would the possibility of me being wrong ever stop me from doing something?"
6 players, 4 Town, 2 Mafia. This is basically Endgame. The Jailkeep outs their target. We Yeet them.
Elimination occurs, down to 5
If they end up Town, its Over. Mafia RBs JK and Kills the JK, to 4, 2-2. I’m assuming that’s it with Plurality.
If they end up Mafia, still tough. I *think* the OS RB is independent of the Kill, so again, the JK is killed, leaving 3-1. Then it’s endgame day.
Now… the real interesting part is if Mafia makes a play today and tries to convince us they’re the Jailkeep. The Killer *should* do that today, I think. I’m actually amazed it hasn’t happened yet.
People think this is wolfy but it’s kinda correct? Maybe not idk. Realistically if JK puts a target we’ll have a decent idea if they’re town or a wolf in any case. You’re spot on on wolves should be claiming, the fact that they haven’t is weird, oh well.